Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 6.956564 7.691986 8.509692 9.493669 10.655562 11.996577 13.680298
2025-01-26 5.794563 6.761695 7.930058 9.474392 11.508304 14.167080 18.036958
2025-02-02 5.418432 6.576201 8.064463 10.182824 13.239787 17.709271 25.231997
2025-02-09 5.066078 6.330943 8.035290 10.607389 14.611753 21.074979 33.585888
2025-02-16 4.681444 5.976725 7.784189 10.637001 15.355494 23.631903 41.827190
2025-02-23 4.452643 5.801955 7.749649 10.963953 16.622440 27.483506 55.212859
2025-03-02 4.085185 5.387813 7.306515 10.560289 16.517161 28.647138 63.069300
2025-03-09 3.804567 5.074330 6.980349 10.297334 16.605801 30.238872 73.570943
2025-03-16 3.592735 4.844742 6.759516 10.179233 16.941964 32.508490 88.801424
2025-03-23 3.499675 4.786292 6.802121 10.527411 18.293947 37.838018 124.216260
2025-03-30 3.286923 4.525936 6.490037 10.181232 18.083939 38.920158 142.239121
2025-04-06 3.072976 4.250753 6.132639 9.710129 17.511482 38.770549 153.689165
2025-04-13 2.888828 4.025858 5.866283 9.431656 17.448866 40.566424 187.016476
2025-04-20 2.760637 3.885192 5.736966 9.416697 18.047530 45.028247 265.699701
2025-04-27 2.752951 3.938394 5.947723 10.118839 20.663580 59.092453 644.131905
2025-05-04 2.702263 3.915246 6.018316 10.539437 22.704982 73.644593 1884.442586
2025-05-11 2.605002 3.805715 5.918725 10.568769 23.631335 84.235340 6225.935315
2025-05-18 2.550965 3.766325 5.946367 10.892604 25.613233 104.793367 NaN
2025-05-25 2.419209 3.583198 5.683229 10.492782 25.068285 107.411826 NaN
2025-06-01 2.312812 3.439396 5.486882 10.232292 24.952553 113.721068 NaN
2025-06-08 2.229660 3.332498 5.355404 10.115289 25.330797 125.512312 NaN
2025-06-15 2.199366 3.318089 5.405727 10.460214 27.585204 163.085688 NaN
2025-06-22 2.103899 3.180931 5.198814 10.117269 27.015262 167.160531 NaN